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INT Finland Ykkosliiga · Round 18 ·

SJK Akatemia vs PK-35

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win19%
Draw31%
Away win50%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win50% selection probability
Projected score1–1SJK AkatemiaPK-35
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
19% / 31% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SJK Akatemia win (18.8%)Double chanceX281.2%1.23
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SJK Akatemia win19%5.26
Draw31%3.23
PK-35 win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SJK Akatemia0.53

Home share of expected goals 27.5%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

PK-351.40

Away share of expected goals 72.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SJK Akatemia

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

PK-35

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Win probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.53
Expected goals
1.40
SJK AkatemiaPK-35
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SJK Akatemia signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PK-35 signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SJK Akatemia win 19%,Draw 31%,PK-35 win 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under