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KOR South Korea K League 2 · Round 17 ·

Paju Frontier FC vs Suwon FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw24%
Away win54%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Paju Frontier FCSuwon FC
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 24% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Paju Frontier FC win (21.6%)Double chanceX278.4%1.28
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapPaju Frontier FC winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paju Frontier FC win22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Suwon FC win54%1.851.6754%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paju Frontier FC0.93

Home share of expected goals 33.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Suwon FC1.87

Away share of expected goals 66.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Paju Frontier FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Suwon FC

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.93
Expected goals
1.87
Paju Frontier FCSuwon FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paju Frontier FC signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suwon FC signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Paju Frontier FC vs Suwon FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paju Frontier FC win 22%,Draw 24%,Suwon FC win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over