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DNK Denmark Division 3 · Fixture ·

Vanløse vs Næsby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw28%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–2VanløseNæsby
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 28% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Vanløse win29%3.45
Draw28%3.57
Næsby win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vanløse1.15

Home share of expected goals 41.8%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Næsby1.60

Away share of expected goals 58.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Vanløse

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Næsby

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.15
Expected goals
1.60
VanløseNæsby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vanløse signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Næsby signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vanløse vs Næsby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vanløse win 29%,Draw 28%,Næsby win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over