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DNK Denmark Division 3 · Fixture ·

Brønshøj vs Sundby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw26%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1BrønshøjSundby
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 26% / 30%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Brønshøj win44%2.27
Draw26%3.85
Sundby win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brønshøj1.87

Home share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Sundby1.36

Away share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brønshøj

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sundby

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
1.36
BrønshøjSundby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brønshøj signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sundby signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Brønshøj vs Sundby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brønshøj win 44%,Draw 26%,Sundby win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over