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AUS Australia New South Wales NPL Women · Fixture ·

Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.05 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw24%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sydney Olympic FC (W)Northern Tigers FC (W)
Expected goals3.05Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 24% / 36%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.05 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sydney Olympic FC (W) win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Northern Tigers FC (W) win36%2.782.5035.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sydney Olympic FC (W)1.51

Home share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals3.05Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Northern Tigers FC (W)1.54

Away share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sydney Olympic FC (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Northern Tigers FC (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.51
Expected goals
1.54
Sydney Olympic FC (W)Northern Tigers FC (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sydney Olympic FC (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Northern Tigers FC (W) signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sydney Olympic FC (W) win 40%,Draw 24%,Northern Tigers FC (W) win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over