Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 20% / 20%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Double chance1279.8%1.25
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapNewtown winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newtown win60%1.671.5060%0.0 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Penrhyncoch win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.6%
Total expected goals3.20Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 38.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNewtown
WWLLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchPenrhyncoch
LWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
20%6
Points from supplied form
91.97
Expected goals
1.23NewtownPenrhyncoch
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Newtown vs Penrhyncoch FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Newtown win 60%，Draw 20%，Penrhyncoch win 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。