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WAL Wales Championship North · Fixture ·

Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw24%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1GuilsfieldMold Alexandra FC
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 24% / 25%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGuilsfield winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guilsfield win51%1.961.8050%+1.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Mold Alexandra FC win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guilsfield1.79

Home share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Mold Alexandra FC0.85

Away share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Guilsfield

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mold Alexandra FC

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.79
Expected goals
0.85
GuilsfieldMold Alexandra FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guilsfield signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mold Alexandra FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guilsfield win 51%,Draw 24%,Mold Alexandra FC win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under