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WAL ウェールズ チャンピオンシップ北部 · 試合 ·

ギルスフィールド vs モールド・アレクアンドラFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利25%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ギルスフィールドモールド・アレクアンドラFC
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 24% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)ダブルチャンス1275.7%1.32
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.64 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapギルスフィールド winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ギルスフィールド win51%1.961.8050%+1.0 pp
引き分け24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
モールド・アレクアンドラFC win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ギルスフィールド1.79

ホーム share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

モールド・アレクアンドラFC0.85

アウェイ share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ギルスフィールド

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

モールド・アレクアンドラFC

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.79
Expected goals
0.85
ギルスフィールドモールド・アレクアンドラFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ギルスフィールド signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02モールド・アレクアンドラFC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ギルスフィールド vs モールド・アレクアンドラFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ギルスフィールド 勝ち 51%,引き分け 24%,モールド・アレクアンドラFC 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー