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WAL Wales - Championship North · Match ·

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger60%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger20%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger60% selection probability
Projected score2–1NewtownPenrhyncoch
Expected goals3.20Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
60% / 20% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Dubbelchans1279.8%1.25
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapNewtown winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newtown win60%1.671.5060%0.0 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Penrhyncoch win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newtown1.97

Hemma share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.20Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

Penrhyncoch1.23

Borta share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Newtown

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Penrhyncoch

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalBorta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.97
Expected goals
1.23
NewtownPenrhyncoch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newtown signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penrhyncoch signalBorta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newtown vunnen 60%,Oavgjort 20%,Penrhyncoch vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över