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WAL Wales Championship - Sever · Zápas ·

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích58%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích58% selection probability
Projected score2–1NewtownPenrhyncoch
Expected goals3.20Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více62% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
58% / 20% / 22%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Dvojitá šance1279.8%1.25
Více 62% · Méně 38%Goals 2.5Více62%1.61
Ano 61% · Ne 39%Oba týmy skórujíAno61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapNewtown winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newtown win58%1.721.5558.1%-0.1 pp
Remíza20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Penrhyncoch win22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newtown1.97

Domácí share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.20Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 62% · Méně 38%

Penrhyncoch1.23

Hosté share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 61% · Ne 39%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Newtown

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Penrhyncoch

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalHosté won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.97
Expected goals
1.23
NewtownPenrhyncoch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newtown signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penrhyncoch signalHosté won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newtown výhra 58%,Remíza 20%,Penrhyncoch výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Více 2.5 62% · Current selection Více