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INT ASEAN Championship · Fixture ·

Malaysia vs Philippines

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw21%
Away win18%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1MalaysiaPhilippines
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 21% / 18%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Philippines win (17.9%)Double chance1X82.1%1.22
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malaysia win61%1.641.4263%
Draw21%4.764.3320.7%
Philippines win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malaysia1.84

Home share of expected goals 62.8%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Philippines1.09

Away share of expected goals 37.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Malaysia

2.00pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Philippines

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
1.09
MalaysiaPhilippines
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malaysia signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Philippines signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Malaysia vs Philippines FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malaysia win 61%,Draw 21%,Philippines win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over