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ENG England National League South · Round 1 ·

Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw24%
Away win29%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Truro CityMaidenhead Utd
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 24% / 29%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Truro City win47%2.131.9147.2%
Draw24%4.173.8023.7%
Maidenhead Utd win29%3.453.1029.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Truro City1.62

Home share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Maidenhead Utd1.23

Away share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Truro City

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Maidenhead Utd

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
Truro CityMaidenhead Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Truro City signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maidenhead Utd signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Truro City win 47%,Draw 24%,Maidenhead Utd win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over