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ENG Inghilterra - National League Sud · Round 1 ·

Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite29%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Truro CityMaidenhead Utd
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 24% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Doppia Chance1276.2%1.31
Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%Goals 2.5Sopra54%1.85
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Truro City win47%2.131.9147.2%
Pareggio24%4.173.8023.7%
Maidenhead Utd win29%3.453.1029.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Truro City1.62

Casa share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%

Maidenhead Utd1.23

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Truro City

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Maidenhead Utd

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
Truro CityMaidenhead Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Truro City signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maidenhead Utd signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Truro City vinta 47%,Pareggio 24%,Maidenhead Utd vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Sopra 2.5 54% · Current selection Sopra