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INT Australia NPL Queensland U23 · Fixture ·

Magic United U23 vs Rochedale Rovers U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.82 expected goals
Away form
Home win16%
Draw21%
Away win63%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win63% selection probability
Projected score1–3Magic United U23Rochedale Rovers U23
Expected goals3.82Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
16% / 21% / 63%Match resultAway win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Magic United U23 win (16.4%)Double chanceX283.6%1.20
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.82 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Magic United U23 win16%6.25
Draw21%4.76
Rochedale Rovers U23 win63%1.59

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magic United U231.00

Home share of expected goals 26.2%

Total expected goals3.82Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Rochedale Rovers U232.82

Away share of expected goals 73.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Magic United U23

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rochedale Rovers U23

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Win probability excluding draw
63%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.00
Expected goals
2.82
Magic United U23Rochedale Rovers U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magic United U23 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rochedale Rovers U23 signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Magic United U23 vs Rochedale Rovers U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magic United U23 win 16%,Draw 21%,Rochedale Rovers U23 win 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over