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INT Bulgaria Second League · Final ·

Spartak Pleven vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win48%
Draw29%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Spartak PlevenLokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 29% / 23%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (22.9%)Double chance1X77.1%1.30
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.47 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Spartak Pleven win48%2.08
Draw29%3.45
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartak Pleven1.63

Home share of expected goals 66%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.84

Away share of expected goals 34%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Spartak Pleven

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
1
1.63
Expected goals
0.84
Spartak PlevenLokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartak Pleven signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Spartak Pleven vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartak Pleven win 48%,Draw 29%,Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under