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INT Bulgaria Second League · Fixture ·

Chernomorets Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw32%
Away win35%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chernomorets BurgasCSKA Sofia II
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 32% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.9%)Double chance1268.1%1.47
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.10 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Chernomorets Burgas win33%3.03
Draw32%3.13
CSKA Sofia II win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chernomorets Burgas1.02

Home share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

CSKA Sofia II1.08

Away share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chernomorets Burgas

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia II

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.02
Expected goals
1.08
Chernomorets BurgasCSKA Sofia II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chernomorets Burgas signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA Sofia II signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Chernomorets Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chernomorets Burgas win 33%,Draw 32%,CSKA Sofia II win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under