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SCO Scotland Championship · Round 1 ·

Partick vs Livingston

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.41 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw28%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1PartickLivingston
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 28% / 31%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Partick win41%2.442.2540.3%
Draw28%3.573.2028.4%
Livingston win31%3.232.9031.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Partick1.31

Home share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Livingston1.10

Away share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Partick

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Livingston

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.31
Expected goals
1.10
PartickLivingston
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Partick signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Livingston signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Partick vs Livingston FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Partick win 41%,Draw 28%,Livingston win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under