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POL Poland I Liga · Fixture ·

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Lechia Gdansk

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw23%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Podbeskidzie Bielsko BialaLechia Gdansk
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 23% / 16%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lechia Gdansk win (16%)Double chance1X84%1.19
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win61%1.641.4562.7%
Draw23%4.354.0022.7%
Lechia Gdansk win16%6.256.2514.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.86

Home share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Lechia Gdansk1.05

Away share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.86
Expected goals
1.05
Podbeskidzie Bielsko BialaLechia Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Gdansk signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Lechia Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win 61%,Draw 23%,Lechia Gdansk win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over