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POL Poland I Liga · Fixture ·

Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw26%
Away win23%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Termalica BB NiecieczaWarta Poznan
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 26% / 23%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Warta Poznan win (23.4%)Double chance1X76.6%1.31
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Termalica BB Nieciecza win50%2.001.7551.2%
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%
Warta Poznan win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Termalica BB Nieciecza1.69

Home share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Warta Poznan1.19

Away share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Termalica BB Nieciecza

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Warta Poznan

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.69
Expected goals
1.19
Termalica BB NiecieczaWarta Poznan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Termalica BB Nieciecza signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warta Poznan signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Termalica BB Nieciecza win 50%,Draw 26%,Warta Poznan win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over