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ITA Italy Serie A · Final ·

Venezia vs Lecce

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win51%
Draw28%
Away win21%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score1–1VeneziaLecce
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 28% / 21%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lecce win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venezia win51%1.961.8052.4%
Draw28%3.573.4027.7%
Lecce win21%4.764.7519.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venezia1.48

Home share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Lecce0.96

Away share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Venezia

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lecce

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.48
Expected goals
0.96
VeneziaLecce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venezia signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lecce signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Venezia vs Lecce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venezia win 51%,Draw 28%,Lecce win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under