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POL Poland III Liga · Final ·

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win27%
Draw29%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 29% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Star Starachowice win (27.1%)Double chanceX272.9%1.37
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Star Starachowice win27%3.70
Draw29%3.45
KSZO Ostrowiec win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.02

Home share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.58

Away share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice win 27%,Draw 29%,KSZO Ostrowiec win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under