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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa27%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite44%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
27% / 29% / 44%Esito partitaVittoria ospite44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Star Starachowice win (27.1%)Doppia ChanceX272.9%1.37
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Star Starachowice win27%3.70
Pareggio29%3.45
KSZO Ostrowiec win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.02

Casa share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.58

Trasferta share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vinta probability excluding draw
44%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice vinta 27%,Pareggio 29%,KSZO Ostrowiec vinta 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto