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ISL Iceland 3 Deild · Round 16 ·

KF Fjallabyggd vs KV Vesturbaer

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw20%
Away win47%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score2–2KF FjallabyggdKV Vesturbaer
Expected goals3.63Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 20% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Double chance1280%1.25
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
12.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KF Fjallabyggd win33%3.032.8031.7%
Draw20%5.004.5019.7%
KV Vesturbaer win47%2.131.8348.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KF Fjallabyggd1.71

Home share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals3.63Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

KV Vesturbaer1.92

Away share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

KF Fjallabyggd

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KV Vesturbaer

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.71
Expected goals
1.92
KF FjallabyggdKV Vesturbaer
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KF Fjallabyggd signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Vesturbaer signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

KF Fjallabyggd vs KV Vesturbaer FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KF Fjallabyggd win 33%,Draw 20%,KV Vesturbaer win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over