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JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–15.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win73%
Draw15%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win73% selection probability
Projected score4–1JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Expected goals5.10Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over88% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 15% / 12%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tallinna JK Legion win (11.8%)Double chance1X88.2%1.13
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
5.10 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
JK Tallinna Kalev II win73%1.37
Draw15%6.67
Tallinna JK Legion win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II3.96

Home share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals5.10Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%

Tallinna JK Legion1.14

Away share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tallinna JK Legion

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.96
Expected goals
1.14
JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tallinna JK Legion signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II win 73%,Draw 15%,Tallinna JK Legion win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.10 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over