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EST Estonie - Esiliiga B · Match ·

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score4–15.10 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile73%
Nul15%
Victoire à l’extérieur12%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile73% selection probability
Projected score4–1JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Expected goals5.10Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de88% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
73% / 15% / 12%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tallinna JK Legion win (11.8%)Double chance1X88.2%1.13
Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%Goals 2.5Plus de88%1.14
Oui 67% · Non 33%Les deux équipes marquentOui67%1.49
5.10 total expected goalsScore exact4–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
JK Tallinna Kalev II win73%1.37
Nul15%6.67
Tallinna JK Legion win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II3.96

Domicile share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals5.10Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%

Tallinna JK Legion1.14

Extérieur share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitOui 67% · Non 33%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Tallinna JK Legion

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gagné probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.96
Expected goals
1.14
JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tallinna JK Legion signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II victoire 73%,Nul 15%,Tallinna JK Legion victoire 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.10 · Plus de 2.5 88% · Current selection Plus de