Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense U20 win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Yes 78% · No 22%Both teams scoreYes78%1.28
4.41 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol U20 win55%1.821.6554.9%+0.1 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Itapirense U20 win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.5%
Total expected goals4.41Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%
Away share of expected goals 41.5%
Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 78% · No 22%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchMirassol U20
LDDDD
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchItapirense U20
WLWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
21%4
Points from supplied form
62.58
Expected goals
1.83Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Mirassol U20 win 55%，Draw 24%，Itapirense U20 win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.41 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over。