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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–1Prognose 3–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score3–2Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Expected goals4.41Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over82% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Itapirense U20 win (21.4%)Dobbeltchance1X78.6%1.27
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Ja 78% · Nej 22%Begge hold scorerJa78%1.28
4.41 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mirassol U20 win55%1.821.6554.9%+0.1 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Itapirense U20 win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol U202.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals4.41Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%

Itapirense U201.83

Ude share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 78% · Nej 22%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Point4

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Itapirense U20

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.58
Expected goals
1.83
Mirassol U20Itapirense U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol U20 signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Itapirense U20 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol U20 vundet 55%,Uafgjort 24%,Itapirense U20 vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.41 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over