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INT New Zealand Central Premier League · Fixture ·

Island Bay United vs Upper Hutt City

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw23%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Island Bay UnitedUpper Hutt City
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 23% / 33%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Double chance1276.9%1.30
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.61 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Island Bay United win44%2.272.0543.4%
Draw23%4.353.9022.8%
Upper Hutt City win33%3.032.6333.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Island Bay United1.44

Home share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Upper Hutt City1.17

Away share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Island Bay United

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Upper Hutt City

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
1
Points from supplied form
0
1.44
Expected goals
1.17
Island Bay UnitedUpper Hutt City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Island Bay United signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Upper Hutt City signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Island Bay United vs Upper Hutt City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Island Bay United win 44%,Draw 23%,Upper Hutt City win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under