Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 26% / 25%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win (25.2%)Double chance1X74.8%1.34
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.26 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Independiente del Valle win49%2.04
Draw26%3.85
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win25%4.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.2%
Total expected goals3.26Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 36.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchIndependiente del Valle
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador
WDLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
25%15
Points from supplied form
102.06
Expected goals
1.20Independiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Independiente del Valle win 49%，Draw 26%，Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.26 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。