Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
70% / 19% / 12%Match resultHome win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (11.8%)Double chance1X88.2%1.13
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win70%1.431.2970.5%-0.5 pp
Draw19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
Horsham win12%8.338.0011.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.7%
Total expected goals2.74Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 34.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchTorquay
DWWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchHorsham
WLLDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
70%
Win probability excluding draw
12%10
Points from supplied form
41.80
Expected goals
0.94TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Torquay vs Horsham FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Torquay win 70%，Draw 19%，Horsham win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。