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ENG Inglismaa National League South · Round 46 ·

Torquay vs Horsham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit70%
Viik19%
Võõrsilvõit12%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit70% selection probability
Projected score2–1TorquayHorsham
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle52% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
70% / 19% / 12%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (11.8%)Topeltvõimalus1X88.2%1.13
Üle 52% · Alla 48%Goals 2.5Üle52%1.92
Jah 51% · Ei 49%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.6 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win70%1.431.2970.5%-0.5 pp
Viik19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
Horsham win12%8.338.0011.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Torquay1.80

Kodu share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 52% · Alla 48%

Horsham0.94

Võõras share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 51% · Ei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Torquay

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Horsham

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Võit probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Torquay signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Horsham signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Torquay vs Horsham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Torquay võit 70%,Viik 19%,Horsham võit 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Üle 2.5 52% · Current selection Üle