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INT CECAFA Cup · Fixture ·

Rayon Sports vs Gor Mahia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw29%
Away win35%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 36% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rayon SportsGor Mahia
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Double chance1271.3%1.40
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rayon Sports win36%2.782.5535.2%
Draw29%3.453.1028.9%
Gor Mahia win35%2.862.5035.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rayon Sports1.32

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Gor Mahia1.25

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rayon Sports

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Gor Mahia

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.32
Expected goals
1.25
Rayon SportsGor Mahia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rayon Sports signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gor Mahia signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rayon Sports vs Gor Mahia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rayon Sports win 36%,Draw 29%,Gor Mahia win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under