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INT Australia NPL Queensland U23 · Fixture ·

Gold Coast Knights U23 vs Peninsula Power U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw22%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gold Coast Knights U23Peninsula Power U23
Expected goals3.34Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 22% / 17%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Peninsula Power U23 win (16.6%)Double chance1X83.4%1.20
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.34 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Gold Coast Knights U23 win61%1.64
Draw22%4.55
Peninsula Power U23 win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gold Coast Knights U232.48

Home share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.34Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Peninsula Power U230.86

Away share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gold Coast Knights U23

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Peninsula Power U23

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
2
2.48
Expected goals
0.86
Gold Coast Knights U23Peninsula Power U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gold Coast Knights U23 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peninsula Power U23 signalHome won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Gold Coast Knights U23 vs Peninsula Power U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gold Coast Knights U23 win 61%,Draw 22%,Peninsula Power U23 win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.34 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over