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INT Poland Ekstraliga Women · Fixture ·

Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.64 expected goals
Away form
Home win14%
Draw19%
Away win68%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win68% selection probability
Projected score1–3Lech Poznan UAM (W)GKS Katowice (W)
Expected goals3.64Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
14% / 19% / 68%Match resultAway win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lech Poznan UAM (W) win (13.6%)Double chanceX286.4%1.16
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.64 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapGKS Katowice (W) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan UAM (W) win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
Draw19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
GKS Katowice (W) win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznan UAM (W)1.01

Home share of expected goals 27.7%

Total expected goals3.64Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

GKS Katowice (W)2.63

Away share of expected goals 72.3%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan UAM (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

GKS Katowice (W)

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Win probability excluding draw
68%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.01
Expected goals
2.63
Lech Poznan UAM (W)GKS Katowice (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznan UAM (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GKS Katowice (W) signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs GKS Katowice (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznan UAM (W) win 14%,Draw 19%,GKS Katowice (W) win 68%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.64 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over