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LVA Latvia Virsliga · Final ·

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win47%
Draw26%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK AudaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 26% / 28%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Auda winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Auda win47%2.131.9546.2%+0.8 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
FK Liepaja win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Auda1.66

Home share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

FK Liepaja0.99

Away share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.99
FK AudaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Auda signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Auda win 47%,Draw 26%,FK Liepaja win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under