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LVA Letonia - Virsliga · Final ·

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–0Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde47%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde47% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK AudaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
47% / 26% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Șansă dublă1274.3%1.35
Peste 49% · Sub 51%Goals 2.5Sub51%1.96
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Auda winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Auda win47%2.131.9546.2%+0.8 pp
Egal26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
FK Liepaja win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Auda1.66

Gazde share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 49% · Sub 51%

FK Liepaja0.99

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.99
FK AudaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Auda signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Auda câștig 47%,Egal 26%,FK Liepaja câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Peste 2.5 49% · Current selection Sub