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INT Italy Serie A Cup Women · Final ·

Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W)

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–2Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win61%
Draw21%
Away win18%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 61% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fiorentina (W)Sassuolo (W)
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 21% / 18%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sassuolo (W) win (17.8%)Double chance1X82.2%1.22
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fiorentina (W) win61%1.641.4263.5%
Draw21%4.764.5020.1%
Sassuolo (W) win18%5.565.5016.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fiorentina (W)1.71

Home share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Sassuolo (W)0.95

Away share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fiorentina (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Away-context · form sequence

Sassuolo (W)

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.71
Expected goals
0.95
Fiorentina (W)Sassuolo (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fiorentina (W) signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sassuolo (W) signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fiorentina (W) win 61%,Draw 21%,Sassuolo (W) win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over