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INT New Zealand Southern League · Fixture ·

Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw22%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 58% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ferrymead BaysNomads United
Expected goals3.41Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 22% / 20%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nomads United win (20.1%)Double chance1X79.9%1.25
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.41 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferrymead Bays win58%1.721.5359.3%
Draw22%4.554.2021.6%
Nomads United win20%5.004.7519.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrymead Bays2.10

Home share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.41Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Nomads United1.31

Away share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ferrymead Bays

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nomads United

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
8
2.10
Expected goals
1.31
Ferrymead BaysNomads United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrymead Bays signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nomads United signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrymead Bays win 58%,Draw 22%,Nomads United win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over