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INT New Zealand Southern League · Partita ·

Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite24%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ferrymead BaysNomads United
Expected goals3.40Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 23% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Doppia Chance1277.2%1.30
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.40 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferrymead Bays win53%1.891.7053.7%
Pareggio23%4.354.0022.8%
Nomads United win24%4.173.9023.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrymead Bays2.01

Casa share of expected goals 59.1%

Total expected goals3.40Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Nomads United1.39

Trasferta share of expected goals 40.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ferrymead Bays

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Nomads United

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
8
2.01
Expected goals
1.39
Ferrymead BaysNomads United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrymead Bays signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nomads United signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrymead Bays vinta 53%,Pareggio 23%,Nomads United vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra