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INT New Zealand Southern League · Partita ·

Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa51%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite28%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nelson SuburbsChristchurch United
Expected goals3.40Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
51% / 21% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.5%)Doppia Chance1278.5%1.27
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.40 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nelson Suburbs win51%1.961.7551.4%
Pareggio21%4.764.2021.4%
Christchurch United win28%3.573.3027.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nelson Suburbs1.96

Casa share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.40Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Christchurch United1.44

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Nelson Suburbs

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Christchurch United

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.96
Expected goals
1.44
Nelson SuburbsChristchurch United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nelson Suburbs signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Christchurch United signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nelson Suburbs vinta 51%,Pareggio 21%,Christchurch United vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra