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INT New Zealand Southern League · Match ·

Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger51%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger28%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nelson SuburbsChristchurch United
Expected goals3.40Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
51% / 21% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.5%)Dubbelchans1278.5%1.27
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Båda lagen gör målJa66%1.52
3.40 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nelson Suburbs win51%1.961.7551.4%
Oavgjort21%4.764.2021.4%
Christchurch United win28%3.573.3027.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nelson Suburbs1.96

Hemma share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.40Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

Christchurch United1.44

Borta share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Nelson Suburbs

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Christchurch United

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.96
Expected goals
1.44
Nelson SuburbsChristchurch United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nelson Suburbs signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Christchurch United signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nelson Suburbs vunnen 51%,Oavgjort 21%,Christchurch United vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över