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JPN Japan J-League · Fixture ·

Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw30%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 30% / 30%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.12 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vissel Kobe win41%2.442.2540.8%+0.2 pp
Draw30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
FC Tokyo win30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vissel Kobe1.12

Home share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

FC Tokyo1.00

Away share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Vissel Kobe

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Tokyo

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.12
Expected goals
1.00
Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vissel Kobe signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tokyo signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vissel Kobe win 41%,Draw 30%,FC Tokyo win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under