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JPN Japan J3-League · Round 1 ·

Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw28%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gainare TottoriFC Osaka
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 28% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.38 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFC Osaka winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainare Tottori win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
FC Osaka win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainare Tottori1.13

Home share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

FC Osaka1.25

Away share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gainare Tottori

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Osaka

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.13
Expected goals
1.25
Gainare TottoriFC Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainare Tottori signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Osaka signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainare Tottori win 28%,Draw 28%,FC Osaka win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under