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INT Women’s Friendly · Fixture ·

Espanyol (W) vs Marseille (W)

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.26 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw22%
Away win25%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 54% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Espanyol (W)Marseille (W)
Expected goals3.26Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 22% / 25%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.8%)Double chance1278.2%1.28
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.26 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Espanyol (W) win54%1.85
Draw22%4.55
Marseille (W) win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Espanyol (W)1.98

Home share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.26Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Marseille (W)1.28

Away share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Espanyol (W)

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Marseille (W)

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.28
Espanyol (W)Marseille (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Espanyol (W) signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marseille (W) signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Espanyol (W) vs Marseille (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Espanyol (W) win 54%,Draw 22%,Marseille (W) win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over