Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
9% / 16% / 75%Match resultAway win75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina (W) win (9.2%)Double chanceX290.8%1.10
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin8.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fiorentina (W) win9%11.1113.007.1%—
Draw16%6.256.5014.2%—
Man City (W) win75%1.331.1778.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 33.9%
Total expected goals3.16Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 66.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchFiorentina (W)
L
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0
SignalNo recent signal
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchMan City (W)
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
9%
Win probability excluding draw
75%0
Points from supplied form
01.07
Expected goals
2.09Fiorentina (W)Man City (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Fiorentina (W) vs Man City (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 75% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Fiorentina (W) win 9%，Draw 16%，Man City (W) win 75%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。