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INT Women’s Friendly · Fixture ·

Real Madrid (W) vs Sevilla (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Away form
Home win68%
Draw18%
Away win14%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 68% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Madrid (W)Sevilla (W)
Expected goals3.32Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 18% / 14%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sevilla (W) win (13.8%)Double chance1X86.2%1.16
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.32 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Madrid (W) win68%1.471.2969.8%
Draw18%5.565.2017.3%
Sevilla (W) win14%7.147.0012.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid (W)2.24

Home share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals3.32Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Sevilla (W)1.08

Away share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Madrid (W)

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sevilla (W)

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
1.08
Real Madrid (W)Sevilla (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sevilla (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Real Madrid (W) vs Sevilla (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid (W) win 68%,Draw 18%,Sevilla (W) win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over