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INT Women’s Friendly · Fixture ·

Athletic Club (W) vs DUX Logrono (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Athletic Club (W)DUX Logrono (W)
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DUX Logrono (W) win (23.8%)Double chance1X76.2%1.31
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club (W) win50%2.001.8049.9%
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%
DUX Logrono (W) win24%4.173.8023.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club (W)1.93

Home share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

DUX Logrono (W)1.30

Away share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Athletic Club (W)

0.50pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

DUX Logrono (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.93
Expected goals
1.30
Athletic Club (W)DUX Logrono (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02DUX Logrono (W) signalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Athletic Club (W) vs DUX Logrono (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club (W) win 50%,Draw 26%,DUX Logrono (W) win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over