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Espanyol vs Levante

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win44%
Draw29%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1EspanyolLevante
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 29% / 26%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Levante win (26.4%)Double chance1X73.6%1.36
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Espanyol win44%2.272.1544.1%-0.1 pp
Draw29%3.453.2029.6%-0.6 pp
Levante win26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Espanyol1.52

Home share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Levante1.11

Away share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Espanyol

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Levante

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.11
EspanyolLevante
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Espanyol signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levante signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Espanyol vs Levante FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Espanyol win 44%,Draw 29%,Levante win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under