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ESP Spain La Liga · Fixture ·

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw29%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta VigoOsasuna
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 29% / 25%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Osasuna win (24.5%)Double chance1X75.5%1.32
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Celta Vigo win47%2.13
Draw29%3.45
Osasuna win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Vigo1.60

Home share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Osasuna0.90

Away share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Celta Vigo

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Osasuna

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.60
Expected goals
0.90
Celta VigoOsasuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Vigo signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Osasuna signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Vigo win 47%,Draw 29%,Osasuna win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under