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POL Poland III Liga · Final ·

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–3Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win33%
Draw24%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 24% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUnia Swarzedz winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elana Torun win33%3.032.7532.5%+0.5 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Unia Swarzedz win43%2.332.0543.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elana Torun1.32

Home share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Unia Swarzedz1.17

Away share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Elana Torun

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.17
Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elana Torun signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unia Swarzedz signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elana Torun win 33%,Draw 24%,Unia Swarzedz win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under